step three.step three Research of the code away from expectation problems to own untimely payment

Note that in the event your personal chance (q) understands the advantage about offer will get 0. Next only the impacted debtors usually pay-off early, in case your ex lover blog post rate of interest stays highest. In the outcome from a decreasing interest rate the debtors will pay very early. Those to have who the benefit on the offer remains b tend to https://paydayloancolorado.net/loveland/ pay-off very early or take up a different borrowing from the bank in the a diminished interest. The others, to have who the personal chance have understood may also pay off very early. In their eyes the new obtain on deal would be 0.

It reinvests new repaid mortgage at the same interest as the fresh new lending rate

In the model a risk premium exists only for the first credit and not for the second credit. If the debtor takes up the second credit at the low interest rate ( \(_)\) the interest rate cannot-by assumption-decline any more in future. The bank cannot impose a risk premium on the second credit, because the bank has no damage if the second credit is also prematurely repaid. In the real world it would however recover its handling costs, which are in the model assumed to be 0. This assumption avoids an infinite regress for the calculation of the risk premium without affecting the main point of the analysis. Otherwise, the calculation for the risk premium of the second contract would require the possibility of a third contract and so forth.

Now assume that the first credit is taken up not in the high interest period but in a low interest period \(_=_\) . In that case the future, post contractual interest rate can by assumption not further decline. It is either unchanged or higher. Therefore, in this case the only risk of the bank is that the personal risk q realizes. But a damage cannot occur, because an early repayment allows the bank to either invest the money at the same rate or at an even higher rate. We can therefore exclude this case from further consideration. The expected gain of the debtor from the contract is then

Should your risk advanced is roofed clearly, we get on requested gain regarding a card bargain, that has been concluded while in the a leading notice several months

This constellation on the design, in which the early repayment off borrowing explanations zero problems and consequently zero rate of interest mark up isnt then believed for the the next data.

If the legal remedy for early repayment is expectation damages the damage from early repayment is the difference between the contractual and the post-contractual interest rate \(_-_\) . The bank can invest the repaid money at an interest rate of \(_\) . It can, for instance, buy mortgage bonds on the secondary age payment results if and only if \(_>_\) . Otherwise the differential method of damage calculation results in a damage award of zero. The compensation payment is therefore

Let us now assume that after the conclusion of the contract the market interest rate falls, but the benefit from the contract remains at b. We get an outcome which is different in comparison with the result under a right of premature repayment. The debtor wants to end the contract and take out a new mortgage at the low interest rate. With expectation damages as remedy for breach of contract her gain would be \((b-_)-\left( _-_\right)=b-_\) . The term in the first bracket is the consumer’s gain from the new mortgage contract and the term in the second bracket denotes the amount of damages to be paid. The early repayment motivated by the lower interest rate does not result in a gain that is higher than the gain from performance of the contract as originally concluded. Therefore, no early repayment results for taking up a new credit if interest rates decrease after contract formation (Table 2).